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This is very interesting research. I will certainly cite it in my next piece about the caucuses.

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Happy to chat about it if you want

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“Of likely caucus attendees not supporting Trump, 49 percent reported liking another candidate better, 43 percent responded it is time for a change, 27 percent said the indictments, 24 percent said January 6th.”

I know that respondents were allowed to select more than one option, but it feels like the obvious divide between these reasons is that the first two imply that the respondent would still vote for Trump against Biden, while the latter two imply that the respondent would vote for Biden over Trump.

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They have other options but to vote for Biden. They may well vote for a third party candidate like RFK Jr or not vote at all.

Democrats need to win over at least some of these people. The arguments are there, just what might make them see "the light". Robert Reich has given some valuable hints how to do it lately.

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