I think you should add an "other" category that just contains a % likelihood that someone not on your list gets the nomination. Would be fun to track that over time.
I really wonder about this. My impression is that a lot of relevant states have sore loser laws that would make this impossible. Also there's a fair chance that whoever did win the nomination would tacitly offer him a pardon to keep him from running. Although he's not great at keeping things tacit.
I think you should add an "other" category that just contains a % likelihood that someone not on your list gets the nomination. Would be fun to track that over time.
Ooh I like this.
Trump has basically he will run even if there is a Republican who wins. What do you think then?
I really wonder about this. My impression is that a lot of relevant states have sore loser laws that would make this impossible. Also there's a fair chance that whoever did win the nomination would tacitly offer him a pardon to keep him from running. Although he's not great at keeping things tacit.