Having grown up in a northeastern white suburb in the fifties and sixties, I can testify it is an understatement to note that race has been a defining factor since then separating today's Democratic and Republican voters. However, I also campaigned actively for George McGovern, and I can say that racial factor has been baked in since around 1972. I believe the defining factor will be most decisive in 2024 is whether a white is a Christian or Catholic conservative or a progressive, particularly on the issues of abortion and gay marriage, and older, regardless of educational attainment. If Democrats can muster an 80 percent turnout rate in 2024 among all Democratic or Democratic leaning younger voters (under 30-40), both of these aging constituencies might be overcome. Hopefully, the DNC is setting such a goal for 2024.
Having grown up in a northeastern white suburb in the fifties and sixties, I can testify it is an understatement to note that race has been a defining factor since then separating today's Democratic and Republican voters. However, I also campaigned actively for George McGovern, and I can say that racial factor has been baked in since around 1972. I believe the defining factor will be most decisive in 2024 is whether a white is a Christian or Catholic conservative or a progressive, particularly on the issues of abortion and gay marriage, and older, regardless of educational attainment. If Democrats can muster an 80 percent turnout rate in 2024 among all Democratic or Democratic leaning younger voters (under 30-40), both of these aging constituencies might be overcome. Hopefully, the DNC is setting such a goal for 2024.