Do Republicans now have a much better chance of holding CO-03, assuming they nominate some generic R instead of a polarizing candidate like Boebert? I am think of Steve King beating JD Scholten in IA-04 by only about 3.5 points in 2018, and then Randy Feenstra going on to beat Scholten by 20+ points.
I think this actually decreases the opportunity for Republicans to keep both seats. Adam Frisch, the Democrat running in CD-3, had a 3-1 fundraising lead over Boebert and has a year’s head start over whoever the Republican nominee will be.
Further, if Boebert wins the nomination in CD-4 (not guaranteed), it will bring national money and attention to a Democratic nominee, and energize Colorado Democrats to defeat her. Ike McCorkle is not a strong candidate. I predict a Democrat with some national connections will announce very soon. Enough Democratic money, and the fact that many independents and moderate Republicans are repulsed by Boebert’s shenanigans and trashiness, could do much to erase the significant Republican advantage in the district. Boebert is a much weaker candidate for that area than most.
Frisch will have a very, very hard time beating anyone not named Lauren Boebert. And there's really no amount of energy Democrats could muster that would bring them victory in CD4, an R+13 district.
Do Republicans now have a much better chance of holding CO-03, assuming they nominate some generic R instead of a polarizing candidate like Boebert? I am think of Steve King beating JD Scholten in IA-04 by only about 3.5 points in 2018, and then Randy Feenstra going on to beat Scholten by 20+ points.
I would think so. This was a much safer district when Scott Tipton represented it, and there were fewer Republican voters in the district back then!
I think this actually decreases the opportunity for Republicans to keep both seats. Adam Frisch, the Democrat running in CD-3, had a 3-1 fundraising lead over Boebert and has a year’s head start over whoever the Republican nominee will be.
Further, if Boebert wins the nomination in CD-4 (not guaranteed), it will bring national money and attention to a Democratic nominee, and energize Colorado Democrats to defeat her. Ike McCorkle is not a strong candidate. I predict a Democrat with some national connections will announce very soon. Enough Democratic money, and the fact that many independents and moderate Republicans are repulsed by Boebert’s shenanigans and trashiness, could do much to erase the significant Republican advantage in the district. Boebert is a much weaker candidate for that area than most.
Frisch will have a very, very hard time beating anyone not named Lauren Boebert. And there's really no amount of energy Democrats could muster that would bring them victory in CD4, an R+13 district.
Check out Trish Calvarese, the best Democrat running in CD4.
Frisch may surprise us.